2014 NCAA (FBS) College Football
Preseason Forecast
Calculated 20 Aug 2014
D. P. Dwiggins, PhD
Click Here for Weekly Game Predictions
	American Athletic Conference					Sun Belt Conference
		Conference	Overall				Conference	Overall
1	Central Florida	8 - 0	11 - 1		1	Louisiana	8 - 0	10 - 2
2	Houston	7 - 1	10 - 2		2	South Alabama	7 - 1	8 - 4
3	Cincinnati	7 - 1	9 - 3		3	Arkansas State	6 - 2	9 - 3
4	East Carolina	6 - 2	7 - 5		4	UL-Monroe	6 - 2	6 - 6
5	Memphis	5 - 3	7 - 5		5	Troy	5 - 3	7 - 5
6	Tulane	4 - 4	6 - 6		6	Texas State	4 - 4	5 - 7
7	Tulsa	3 - 5	4 - 8		7	Georgia Southern	4 - 4	5 - 7
8	SMU	2 - 6	2 - 10		8	Appalachian St.	2 - 6	4 - 8
9	South Florida	1 - 7	2 - 10		9	Georgia State	1 - 7	2 - 10
10	Connecticut	1 - 7	3 - 9		10	Idaho	1 - 7	1 - 11
11	Temple	0 - 8	1 - 11		11	New Mexico State	0 - 8	0 - 12
	Atlantic Coast Conference					Southeastern Conference
		Conference	Overall				Conference	Overall
1	Florida State	9 - 0	13 - 0		1	South Carolina	8 - 1	12 - 1
2	Clemson	7 - 1	10 - 2		2	Alabama	8 - 1	12 - 1
3	North Carolina	7 - 2	11 - 2		3	Auburn	7 - 1	11 - 1
4	Virginia Tech	6 - 2	9 - 3		4	Missouri	6 - 2	10 - 2
5	Louisville	6 - 2	10 - 2		5	Texas A&M	5 - 3	9 - 3
6	Duke	6 - 2	10 - 2		6	Georgia	5 - 3	8 - 4
7	Miami-Florida	4 - 4	7 - 5		7	Mississippi St.	5 - 3	9 - 3
8	Syracuse	4 - 4	6 - 6		8	LSU	4 - 4	8 - 4
9	Georgia Tech	3 - 5	6 - 6		9	Mississippi	3 - 5	7 - 5
10	Wake Forest	2 - 6	5 - 7		10	Vanderbilt	3 - 5	7 - 5
11	Pittsburgh	2 - 6	5 - 7		11	Florida	2 - 6	5 - 7
12	Boston College	1 - 7	3 - 9		12	Tennessee	1 - 7	3 - 9
13	N. C. State	0 - 8	4 - 8		13	Kentucky	0 - 8	3 - 9
14	Virginia	0 - 8	2 - 10		14	Arkansas	0 - 8	2 - 10
	The BIG Conference					Mid-American Conference
		Conference	Overall				Conference	Overall
1	Michigan State	9 - 0	12 - 1		1	Bowling Green	8 - 1	11 - 2
2	Ohio State	7 - 1	11 - 1		2	Northern Illinois	8 - 1	11 - 2
3	Iowa	7 - 2	11 - 2		3	Toledo	7 - 1	8 - 4
4	Michigan	6 - 2	10 - 2		4	Buffalo	7 - 1	10 - 2
5	Wisconsin	6 - 2	9 - 3		5	Ball State	5 - 3	8 - 4
6	Indiana	4 - 4	6 - 6		6	Central Michigan	4 - 4	6 - 6
7	Nebraska	4 - 4	7 - 5		7	Kent State	4 - 4	5 - 7
8	Penn State	4 - 4	7 - 5		8	Ohio	3 - 5	4 - 8
9	Minnesota	4 - 4	7 - 5		9	Akron	3 - 5	4 - 8
10	Northwestern	4 - 4	8 - 4		10	Western Michigan	2 - 6	4 - 8
11	Illinois	1 - 7	4 - 8		11	Massachusetts	2 - 6	2 - 10
12	Maryland	1 - 7	5 - 7		12	Eastern Michigan	0 - 8	1 - 11
13	Purdue	0 - 8	1 - 11		13	Miami-Ohio	0 - 8	0 - 12
14	Rutgers	0 - 8	1 - 11
						Conference USA
	XII – II  Conference						Conference	Overall
		Conference	Overall		1	Marshall	9 - 0	13 - 0
1	Oklahoma	9 - 0	12 - 0		2	UT - San Antonio	8 - 1	9 - 4
2	Baylor	8 - 1	11 - 1		3	Middle Tennessee	7 - 1	8 - 4
3	Texas Christian	6 - 3	9 - 3		4	Rice	6 - 2	8 - 4
4	Oklahoma State	5 - 4	7 - 5		5	North Texas	6 - 2	8 - 4
5	Texas	5 - 4	7 - 5		6	Florida Atlantic	4 - 4	5 - 7
6	Kansas State	5 - 4	7 - 5		7	Western Kentucky	4 - 4	5 - 7
7	Texas Tech	3 - 6	6 - 6		8	Old Dominion	3 - 5	5 - 7
8	West Virginia	3 - 6	4 - 8		9	Louisiana Tech	3 - 5	4 - 8
9	Iowa State	1 - 8	2 - 10		10	UAB	2 - 6	3 - 9
10	Kansas	0 - 9	2 - 10		11	Texas - El Paso	1 - 7	2 - 10
					12	Southern Miss.	0 - 8	1 - 11
					13	Florida Int'l	0 - 8	1 - 11
	Pacific Twelve Conference					Mountain West  Conference
		Conference	Overall				Conference	Overall
1	UCLA	9 - 0	12 - 0		1	Boise State	9 - 0	12 - 1
2	Oregon	8 - 1	11 - 1		2	Utah State	7 - 1	11 - 2
3	Stanford	7 - 2	10 - 2		3	Fresno State	7 - 2	9 - 4
4	Southern Cal	7 - 2	10 - 2		4	San Jose State	6 - 2	7 - 5
5	Washington	6 - 3	10 - 3		5	San Diego State	4 - 4	6 - 6
6	Oregon State	5 - 4	8 - 4		6	Colorado State	4 - 4	8 - 4
7	Arizona State	4 - 5	7 - 5		7	UNLV	4 - 4	5 - 7
8	Utah	3 - 6	5 - 7		8	Nevada	3 - 5	4 - 8
9	Arizona	3 - 6	6 - 6		9	Hawai'i	2 - 6	2 - 11
10	Washington State	1 - 8	4 - 8		10	Air Force	1 - 7	4 - 8
11	Colorado	1 - 8	3 - 9		11	New Mexico	1 - 7	3 - 9
12	California	0 - 9	1 - 11		12	Wyoming	1 - 7	3 - 9
	Independents
			Overall
1	Navy		10 - 2
2	Brigham Young		9 - 3
3	Notre Dame		4 - 8
4	Army		1 - 11
X	Charlotte		5 - 6
These projections are based on the power rankings computed through the end of the 2013 season,
along with some adjustments made in Aug 2014 based on numbers of returning starters and lettermen.
For the most part, these projections reflect my guess as to what would happen if last year's teams
played this year's schedule, which of course won't happen, and I anticipate this forecast to be at
best about 75% accurate, based on standard deviations of actual results from predicted results.
Also, the above results do not include postseason play.					Click Here for Bowl Projections
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