2014 NCAA (FBS) College Football
Preseason Forecast
Calculated 20 Aug 2014
D. P. Dwiggins, PhD
Click Here for Weekly Game Predictions
American Athletic Conference Sun Belt Conference
Conference Overall Conference Overall
1 Central Florida 8 - 0 11 - 1 1 Louisiana 8 - 0 10 - 2
2 Houston 7 - 1 10 - 2 2 South Alabama 7 - 1 8 - 4
3 Cincinnati 7 - 1 9 - 3 3 Arkansas State 6 - 2 9 - 3
4 East Carolina 6 - 2 7 - 5 4 UL-Monroe 6 - 2 6 - 6
5 Memphis 5 - 3 7 - 5 5 Troy 5 - 3 7 - 5
6 Tulane 4 - 4 6 - 6 6 Texas State 4 - 4 5 - 7
7 Tulsa 3 - 5 4 - 8 7 Georgia Southern 4 - 4 5 - 7
8 SMU 2 - 6 2 - 10 8 Appalachian St. 2 - 6 4 - 8
9 South Florida 1 - 7 2 - 10 9 Georgia State 1 - 7 2 - 10
10 Connecticut 1 - 7 3 - 9 10 Idaho 1 - 7 1 - 11
11 Temple 0 - 8 1 - 11 11 New Mexico State 0 - 8 0 - 12
Atlantic Coast Conference Southeastern Conference
Conference Overall Conference Overall
1 Florida State 9 - 0 13 - 0 1 South Carolina 8 - 1 12 - 1
2 Clemson 7 - 1 10 - 2 2 Alabama 8 - 1 12 - 1
3 North Carolina 7 - 2 11 - 2 3 Auburn 7 - 1 11 - 1
4 Virginia Tech 6 - 2 9 - 3 4 Missouri 6 - 2 10 - 2
5 Louisville 6 - 2 10 - 2 5 Texas A&M 5 - 3 9 - 3
6 Duke 6 - 2 10 - 2 6 Georgia 5 - 3 8 - 4
7 Miami-Florida 4 - 4 7 - 5 7 Mississippi St. 5 - 3 9 - 3
8 Syracuse 4 - 4 6 - 6 8 LSU 4 - 4 8 - 4
9 Georgia Tech 3 - 5 6 - 6 9 Mississippi 3 - 5 7 - 5
10 Wake Forest 2 - 6 5 - 7 10 Vanderbilt 3 - 5 7 - 5
11 Pittsburgh 2 - 6 5 - 7 11 Florida 2 - 6 5 - 7
12 Boston College 1 - 7 3 - 9 12 Tennessee 1 - 7 3 - 9
13 N. C. State 0 - 8 4 - 8 13 Kentucky 0 - 8 3 - 9
14 Virginia 0 - 8 2 - 10 14 Arkansas 0 - 8 2 - 10
The BIG Conference Mid-American Conference
Conference Overall Conference Overall
1 Michigan State 9 - 0 12 - 1 1 Bowling Green 8 - 1 11 - 2
2 Ohio State 7 - 1 11 - 1 2 Northern Illinois 8 - 1 11 - 2
3 Iowa 7 - 2 11 - 2 3 Toledo 7 - 1 8 - 4
4 Michigan 6 - 2 10 - 2 4 Buffalo 7 - 1 10 - 2
5 Wisconsin 6 - 2 9 - 3 5 Ball State 5 - 3 8 - 4
6 Indiana 4 - 4 6 - 6 6 Central Michigan 4 - 4 6 - 6
7 Nebraska 4 - 4 7 - 5 7 Kent State 4 - 4 5 - 7
8 Penn State 4 - 4 7 - 5 8 Ohio 3 - 5 4 - 8
9 Minnesota 4 - 4 7 - 5 9 Akron 3 - 5 4 - 8
10 Northwestern 4 - 4 8 - 4 10 Western Michigan 2 - 6 4 - 8
11 Illinois 1 - 7 4 - 8 11 Massachusetts 2 - 6 2 - 10
12 Maryland 1 - 7 5 - 7 12 Eastern Michigan 0 - 8 1 - 11
13 Purdue 0 - 8 1 - 11 13 Miami-Ohio 0 - 8 0 - 12
14 Rutgers 0 - 8 1 - 11
Conference USA
XII II Conference Conference Overall
Conference Overall 1 Marshall 9 - 0 13 - 0
1 Oklahoma 9 - 0 12 - 0 2 UT - San Antonio 8 - 1 9 - 4
2 Baylor 8 - 1 11 - 1 3 Middle Tennessee 7 - 1 8 - 4
3 Texas Christian 6 - 3 9 - 3 4 Rice 6 - 2 8 - 4
4 Oklahoma State 5 - 4 7 - 5 5 North Texas 6 - 2 8 - 4
5 Texas 5 - 4 7 - 5 6 Florida Atlantic 4 - 4 5 - 7
6 Kansas State 5 - 4 7 - 5 7 Western Kentucky 4 - 4 5 - 7
7 Texas Tech 3 - 6 6 - 6 8 Old Dominion 3 - 5 5 - 7
8 West Virginia 3 - 6 4 - 8 9 Louisiana Tech 3 - 5 4 - 8
9 Iowa State 1 - 8 2 - 10 10 UAB 2 - 6 3 - 9
10 Kansas 0 - 9 2 - 10 11 Texas - El Paso 1 - 7 2 - 10
12 Southern Miss. 0 - 8 1 - 11
13 Florida Int'l 0 - 8 1 - 11
Pacific Twelve Conference Mountain West Conference
Conference Overall Conference Overall
1 UCLA 9 - 0 12 - 0 1 Boise State 9 - 0 12 - 1
2 Oregon 8 - 1 11 - 1 2 Utah State 7 - 1 11 - 2
3 Stanford 7 - 2 10 - 2 3 Fresno State 7 - 2 9 - 4
4 Southern Cal 7 - 2 10 - 2 4 San Jose State 6 - 2 7 - 5
5 Washington 6 - 3 10 - 3 5 San Diego State 4 - 4 6 - 6
6 Oregon State 5 - 4 8 - 4 6 Colorado State 4 - 4 8 - 4
7 Arizona State 4 - 5 7 - 5 7 UNLV 4 - 4 5 - 7
8 Utah 3 - 6 5 - 7 8 Nevada 3 - 5 4 - 8
9 Arizona 3 - 6 6 - 6 9 Hawai'i 2 - 6 2 - 11
10 Washington State 1 - 8 4 - 8 10 Air Force 1 - 7 4 - 8
11 Colorado 1 - 8 3 - 9 11 New Mexico 1 - 7 3 - 9
12 California 0 - 9 1 - 11 12 Wyoming 1 - 7 3 - 9
Independents
Overall
1 Navy 10 - 2
2 Brigham Young 9 - 3
3 Notre Dame 4 - 8
4 Army 1 - 11
X Charlotte 5 - 6
These projections are based on the power rankings computed through the end of the 2013 season,
along with some adjustments made in Aug 2014 based on numbers of returning starters and lettermen.
For the most part, these projections reflect my guess as to what would happen if last year's teams
played this year's schedule, which of course won't happen, and I anticipate this forecast to be at
best about 75% accurate, based on standard deviations of actual results from predicted results.
Also, the above results do not include postseason play. Click Here for Bowl Projections
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