2009 NCAA Division 1 College Football
Preseason Forecast
Posted 5 August 2009
D. P. Dwiggins, PhD
Click Here for Weekly Game Predictions
Atlantic Coast Conference Southeastern Conference
Conference Overall Conference Overall
1 Georgia Tech 9 - 0 14 - 0 1 Florida 9 - 0 14 - 0
2 Virginia Tech 7 - 1 11 - 2 2 Alabama 8 - 1 13 - 1
3 Florida State 6 - 3 10 - 4 3 Mississippi 7 - 1 12 - 1
4 Boston College 5 - 3 10 - 3 4 Georgia 7 - 1 10 - 3
5 North Carolina 5 - 3 10 - 3 5 LSU 4 - 4 8 - 5
6 Clemson 5 - 3 9 - 4 6 Vanderbilt 4 - 4 7 - 6
7 Miami-Florida 4 - 4 8 - 5 7 South Carolina 3 - 5 6 - 7
8 Wake Forest 3 - 5 8 - 5 8 Arkansas 2 - 6 7 - 6
9 Virginia 2 - 6 5 - 7 9 Kentucky 2 - 6 7 - 6
10 N. C. State 2 - 6 4 - 8 10 Auburn 2 - 6 4 - 8
11 Maryland 1 - 7 3 - 9 11 Tennessee 1 - 7 5 - 7
12 Duke 0 - 8 3 - 9 12 Mississippi State 0 - 8 2 - 10
Big East Conference Pacific Ten  Conference
Conference Overall Conference Overall
1 Rutgers 7 - 0 12 - 1 1 Southern Cal 9 - 0 13 - 0
2 Pittsburgh 6 - 1 11 - 2 2 Oregon 8 - 1 11 - 2
3 West Virginia 5 - 2 10 - 3 3 California 7 - 2 11 - 2
4 Cincinnati 3 - 4 7 - 6 4 Oregon State 6 - 3 9 - 4
5 South Florida 3 - 4 7 - 6 5 Arizona 5 - 4 8 - 5
6 Connecticut 3 - 4 5 - 7 6 Arizona State 4 - 5 7 - 6
7 Louisville 1 - 6 3 - 9 7 Stanford 3 - 6 4 - 8
8 Syracuse 0 - 7 1 - 11 8 UCLA 2 - 7 4 - 8
9 Washington 1 - 8 2 - 10
Big Twelve  Conference 10 Washington State 0 - 9 0 - 12
Conference Overall
1 Oklahoma 9 - 0 13 - 1 Big Televen  Conference
2 Texas 7 - 1 12 - 1 Conference Overall
3 Texas Tech 6 - 2 11 - 2 1 Penn State 8 - 0 12 - 1
4 Missouri 6 - 3 11 - 3 2 Ohio State 7 - 1 10 - 3
5 Oklahoma State 5 - 3 10 - 3 3 Iowa 6 - 2 10 - 3
6 Kansas 4 - 4 8 - 5 4 Michigan State 6 - 2 10 - 3
7 Nebraska 4 - 4 8 - 5 5 Northwestern 5 - 3 9 - 4
8 Baylor 2 - 6 5 - 7 6 Wisconsin 3 - 5 7 - 6
9 Iowa State 2 - 6 5 - 7 7 Minnesota 3 - 5 7 - 6
10 Kansas State 2 - 6 4 - 8 8 Illinois 3 - 5 5 - 7
11 Texas A&M 1 - 7 4 - 8 9 Michigan 2 - 6 5 - 7
12 Colorado 1 - 7 3 - 9 10 Purdue 1 - 7 3 - 9
11 Indiana 0 - 8 1 - 11
IA Independents
Conference Overall Mountain West  Conference
Notre Dame 1 - 0 9 - 4 Conference Overall
Navy 1 - 1 8 - 6 1 Texas Christian 8 - 0 12 - 1
Army 0 - 1 3 - 9 2 Utah 7 - 1 11 - 2
3 Brigham Young 6 - 2 8 - 5
Conference - USA 4 Air Force 5 - 3 7 - 6
Conference Overall 5 Colorado State 4 - 4 6 - 7
1 Tulsa 9 - 0 11 - 3 6 New Mexico 3 - 5 4 - 8
2 East Carolina 7 - 2 8 - 6 7 UNLV 2 - 6 4 - 8
3 Southern Miss. 6 - 2 9 - 4 8 San Diego State 1 - 7 4 - 8
4 Rice 6 - 2 8 - 5 9 Wyoming 0 - 8 1 - 11
5 Houston 5 - 3 7 - 6
6 Texas - El Paso 5 - 3 7 - 6 Western Athletic  Conference
7 Marshall 4 - 4 6 - 7 Conference Overall
8 Central Florida 3 - 5 5 - 7 1 Boise State 8 - 0 14 - 0
9 UAB 3 - 5 4 - 8 2 Nevada 7 - 1 9 - 4
10 Tulane 1 - 7 2 - 10 3 Fresno State 6 - 2 8 - 5
11 SMU 0 - 8 2 - 10 4 Louisiana Tech 5 - 3 7 - 6
12 Memphis 0 - 8 1 - 11 5 Utah State 4 - 4 5 - 7
6 San Jose State 3 - 5 4 - 8
Mid-American Conference 7 Hawai'i 2 - 6 4 - 9
Conference Overall 8 New Mexico State 1 - 7 2 - 11
1 Ball State 9 - 0 14 - 0 9 Idaho 0 - 8 0 - 12
2 Central Michigan 7 - 1 8 - 5
3 Temple 6 - 3 8 - 6 Sun Belt Conference
4 Toledo 5 - 3 6 - 7 Conference Overall
5 Kent State 5 - 3 6 - 6 1 Troy 8 - 0 10 - 3
6 Northern Illinois 4 - 4 6 - 6 2 UL-Lafayette 6 - 2 8 - 5
7 Western Michigan 4 - 4 6 - 6 3 Arkansas State 6 - 2 7 - 6
8 Buffalo 4 - 4 5 - 7 4 Florida Int'l 5 - 3 7 - 6
9 Bowling Green 4 - 4 4 - 8 5 Florida Atlantic 4 - 4 5 - 7
10 Akron 3 - 5 6 - 6 6 Middle Tennessee 4 - 4 5 - 7
11 Ohio 2 - 6 4 - 8 7 UL-Monroe 2 - 6 3 - 9
12 Eastern Michigan 0 - 8 1 - 11 8 North Texas 1 - 7 1 - 11
13 Miami-Ohio 0 - 8 0 - 12 9 Western Kentucky 0 - 8 1 - 11
These projections are based on the power rankings computed through the end of the 2008 season.
There were some adjustments made in July 2009 based on numbers of returning starters and lettermen.
For the most part, these projections reflect my guess as to what would happen if last year's teams
played this year's schedule, which of course won't happen so there will be some obvious "errors",
such as five teams all ending up undefeated. Click Here for Bowl Projections
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FCS Preseason Forecast
Posted 25 August 2009
D. P. Dwiggins, PhD
Click Here for Weekly Game Predictions
Colonial Athletic Association Mississippi Valley Conference
Conference Overall Conference Overall
1 James Madison 9 - 0 14 - 1 1 Northern Iowa 8 - 0 10 - 2
2 Richmond 7 - 2 12 - 3 2 N. Dakota St. 6 - 2 8 - 4
3 Villanova 6 - 2 9 - 4 3 Southern Illinois 6 - 2 8 - 4
4 New Hampshire 6 - 2 9 - 4 4 Western Illinois 5 - 3 7 - 4
5 William & Mary 5 - 3 7 - 4 5 S. Dakota St. 5 - 3 5 - 6
6 Maine 5 - 3 7 - 4 6 Illinois State 3 - 5 5 - 6
7 Massachusetts 4 - 4 6 - 5 7 Youngstown State 2 - 6 3  -8
8 Delaware 2 - 6 4 - 7 8 Missouri State 1 - 7 2 - 9
9 Hofstra 2 - 6 4 - 7 9 Indiana State 0 - 8 1 - 10
10 Northeastern 2 - 6 3 - 8
11 Rhode Island 1 - 7 2 - 9 Southland Conference
12 Towson 0 - 8 2 - 9 Conference Overall
1 McNeese State 7 - 0 9 - 3
Southern Conference 2 Central Arkansas 6 - 1 9 - 3
Conference Overall 3 Texas State 4 - 3 7 - 4
1 Appalachian State 8 - 0 12 - 2 4 Sam Houston St. 4 - 3 5 - 6
2 Wofford 7 - 1 8 - 4 5 Northwestern State 3 - 4 4 - 7
3 Elon 6 - 2 9 - 4 6 SE Louisiana 2 - 5 4 - 7
4 Georgia Southern 5 - 3 7 - 4 7 S. F. Austin 1 - 6 2 - 9
5 Samford 4 - 4 6 - 5 8 Nicholls State 1 - 6 2 - 9
6 Furman 3 - 5 4 - 7
7 The Citadel 2 - 6 4 - 7 Big South Conference
8 Western Carolina 1 - 7 2 - 9 Conference Overall
9 Chattanooga 0 - 8 2 - 9 1 Liberty 6 - 0 8 - 3
2 Cha'ston Southern 5 - 1 7 - 4
Ohio Valley Conference 3 Stony Brook 4 - 2 4 - 7
Conference Overall 4 Coastal Carolina 3 - 3 4 - 7
1 Jacksonville State 7 - 0 9 - 3 5 Gardner-Webb 2 - 4 4 - 7
2 Eastern Kentucky 7 - 1 8 - 3 6 Virginia Military 1 - 5 2 - 9
3 UT-Martin 6 - 2 8 - 3 7 Presbyterian 0 - 6 1 - 10
4 Tennessee State 5 - 2 8 - 3
5 Eastern Illinois 4 - 4 5 - 6 Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
6 Murray State 3 - 5 4 - 7 Conference Overall
7 Austin Peay 1 - 7 2 - 9 1 S. Carolina St. 9 - 0 11 - 2
8 Tennessee Tech 1 - 7 2 - 9 2 Florida A&M 8 - 1 9 - 2
9 SE Missouri State 1 - 7 2 - 9 3 Bethune-Cookman 7 - 2 9 - 2
4 Morgan State 6 - 3 6 - 5
Big Sky Conference 5 Hampton 5 - 4 7 - 4
Conference Overall 6 Delaware State 3 - 5 3 - 7
1 Montana 8 - 0 13 - 1 7 Norfolk State 3 - 6 4 - 7
2 Weber State 7 - 1 7 - 4 8 Winston-Salem 2 - 7 3 - 8
3 E. Washington 6 - 2 8 - 3 9 N. C. A&T 1 - 7 1 - 9
4 Montana State 5 - 3 7 - 4 10 Howard 0 - 9 0 - 11
5 Sacramento State 4 - 4 5 - 6
6 Northern Arizona 3 - 5 4 - 7 Southwestern Athletic Conference
7 No. Colorado 2 - 6 3 - 8 Conference Overall
8 Portland State 1 - 7 2 - 9 1 Grambling 9 - 0 10 - 2
9 Idaho State 0 - 8 1 - 10 2 Prairie View 7 - 1 8 - 2
3 Southern 6 - 1 7 - 4
Ivy League 4 Jackson State 6 - 2 6 - 5
Conference Overall 5 Alabama A&M 4 - 3 5 - 6
1 Harvard 7 - 0 10 - 0 6 Alcorn State 3 - 5 3 - 7
2 Yale 6 - 1 9 - 1 7 Alabama State 2 - 5 6 - 5
3 Brown 5 - 2 8 - 2 8 Ark - Pine Bluff 2 - 6 5 - 6
4 Pennsylvania 4 - 3 5 - 5 9 Mississippi Valley 1 - 7 3 - 8
5 Princeton 3 - 4 3  -7 10 Texas Southern 0 - 7 1 - 10
6 Cornell 2 - 5 4 - 6
7 Columbia 1 - 6 1 - 9 Pioneer Football League
8 Dartmouth 0 - 7 0 - 10 Conference Overall
1 Dayton 8 - 0 11 - 1
Patriot League 2 San Diego 7 - 1 8 - 3
Conference Overall 3 Jacksonville 7 - 1 9 - 2
1 Holy Cross 6 - 0 9 - 3 4 Morehead State 5 - 3 8 - 3
2 Colgate 5 - 1 10 - 1 5 Butler 4 - 4 7 - 4
3 Lafayette 4 - 2 7 - 4 6 Marist 4 - 4 4 - 7
4 Lehigh 3 - 3 5 - 6 7 Drake 3 - 5 5 - 6
5 Fordham 2 - 4 5 - 6 8 Valparaiso 1 - 7 3 - 8
6 Bucknell 1 - 5 4 - 7 9 Davidson 1 - 7 2 - 8
7 Georgetown 0 - 6 2 - 9 10 Campbell 0 - 8 0 - 11
Great Western Football Conference Northeast Conference
Conference Overall Conference Overall
1 Cal Poly 4 - 0 8 - 4 1 Albany 8 - 0 9 - 3
2 South Dakota 3 - 1 7 - 3 2 Monmouth 7 - 1 9 - 2
3 UC-Davis 2 - 2 5 - 6 3 C. Connecticut St. 6 - 2 7 - 4
4 North Dakota 1 - 3 5 - 6 4 Sacred Heart 5 - 3 6 - 4
5 Southern Utah 0 - 4 2 - 9 5 Robert Morris 4 - 4 5 - 6
6 Bryant* 3 - 5 4 - 7
FCS Independents 7 Duquesne 2 - 6 2 - 9
Conference Overall 8 Wagner 1 - 7 3 - 8
1 N. C. Central 2 - 0 5 - 6 9 St. Francis - PA 0 - 8 0 - 10
2 Savannah State 1 - 1 6 - 5 * Bryant plays a full NEC schedule
3 Old Dominion 0 - 2 1 - 10 but is not yet a full conference member
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