2009 NCAA Division 1 College Football
Preseason Forecast
Posted 5 August 2009
D. P. Dwiggins, PhD
Click Here for Weekly Game Predictions
	Atlantic Coast Conference					Southeastern Conference
		Conference	Overall				Conference	Overall
1	Georgia Tech	9 - 0	14 - 0		1	Florida	9 - 0	14 - 0
2	Virginia Tech	7 - 1	11 - 2		2	Alabama	8 - 1	13 - 1
3	Florida State	6 - 3	10 - 4		3	Mississippi	7 - 1	12 - 1
4	Boston College	5 - 3	10 - 3		4	Georgia	7 - 1	10 - 3
5	North Carolina	5 - 3	10 - 3		5	LSU	4 - 4	8 - 5
6	Clemson	5 - 3	9 - 4		6	Vanderbilt	4 - 4	7 - 6
7	Miami-Florida	4 - 4	8 - 5		7	South Carolina	3 - 5	6 - 7
8	Wake Forest	3 - 5	8 - 5		8	Arkansas	2 - 6	7 - 6
9	Virginia	2 - 6	5 - 7		9	Kentucky	2 - 6	7 - 6
10	N. C. State	2 - 6	4 - 8		10	Auburn	2 - 6	4 - 8
11	Maryland	1 - 7	3 - 9		11	Tennessee	1 - 7	5 - 7
12	Duke	0 - 8	3 - 9		12	Mississippi State	0 - 8	2 - 10
	Big East Conference					Pacific Ten  Conference
		Conference	Overall				Conference	Overall
1	Rutgers	7 - 0	12 - 1		1	Southern Cal	9 - 0	13 - 0
2	Pittsburgh	6 - 1	11 - 2		2	Oregon	8 - 1	11 - 2
3	West Virginia	5 - 2	10 - 3		3	California	7 - 2	11 - 2
4	Cincinnati	3 - 4	7 - 6		4	Oregon State	6 - 3	9 - 4
5	South Florida	3 - 4	7 - 6		5	Arizona	5 - 4	8 - 5
6	Connecticut	3 - 4	5 - 7		6	Arizona State	4 - 5	7 - 6
7	Louisville	1 - 6	3 - 9		7	Stanford	3 - 6	4 - 8
8	Syracuse	0 - 7	1 - 11		8	UCLA	2 - 7	4 - 8
					9	Washington	1 - 8	2 - 10
	Big Twelve  Conference				10	Washington State	0 - 9	0 - 12
		Conference	Overall
1	Oklahoma	9 - 0	13 - 1			Big Televen  Conference
2	Texas	7 - 1	12 - 1				Conference	Overall
3	Texas Tech	6 - 2	11 - 2		1	Penn State	8 - 0	12 - 1
4	Missouri	6 - 3	11 - 3		2	Ohio State	7 - 1	10 - 3
5	Oklahoma State	5 - 3	10 - 3		3	Iowa	6 - 2	10 - 3
6	Kansas	4 - 4	8 - 5		4	Michigan State	6 - 2	10 - 3
7	Nebraska	4 - 4	8 - 5		5	Northwestern	5 - 3	9 - 4
8	Baylor	2 - 6	5 - 7		6	Wisconsin	3 - 5	7 - 6
9	Iowa State	2 - 6	5 - 7		7	Minnesota	3 - 5	7 - 6
10	Kansas State	2 - 6	4 - 8		8	Illinois	3 - 5	5 - 7
11	Texas A&M	1 - 7	4 - 8		9	Michigan	2 - 6	5 - 7
12	Colorado	1 - 7	3 - 9		10	Purdue	1 - 7	3 - 9
					11	Indiana	0 - 8	1 - 11
	IA Independents
		Conference	Overall			Mountain West  Conference
	Notre Dame	1 - 0	9 - 4				Conference	Overall
	Navy	1 - 1	8 - 6		1	Texas Christian	8 - 0	12 - 1
	Army	0 - 1	3 - 9		2	Utah	7 - 1	11 - 2
					3	Brigham Young	6 - 2	8 - 5
	Conference - USA				4	Air Force	5 - 3	7 - 6
		Conference	Overall		5	Colorado State	4 - 4	6 - 7
1	Tulsa	9 - 0	11 - 3		6	New Mexico	3 - 5	4 - 8
2	East Carolina	7 - 2	8 - 6		7	UNLV	2 - 6	4 - 8
3	Southern Miss.	6 - 2	9 - 4		8	San Diego State	1 - 7	4 - 8
4	Rice	6 - 2	8 - 5		9	Wyoming	0 - 8	1 - 11
5	Houston	5 - 3	7 - 6
6	Texas - El Paso	5 - 3	7 - 6			Western Athletic  Conference
7	Marshall	4 - 4	6 - 7				Conference	Overall
8	Central Florida	3 - 5	5 - 7		1	Boise State	8 - 0	14 - 0
9	UAB	3 - 5	4 - 8		2	Nevada	7 - 1	9 - 4
10	Tulane	1 - 7	2 - 10		3	Fresno State	6 - 2	8 - 5
11	SMU	0 - 8	2 - 10		4	Louisiana Tech	5 - 3	7 - 6
12	Memphis	0 - 8	1 - 11		5	Utah State	4 - 4	5 - 7
					6	San Jose State	3 - 5	4 - 8
	Mid-American Conference				7	Hawai'i	2 - 6	4 - 9
		Conference	Overall		8	New Mexico State	1 - 7	2 - 11
1	Ball State	9 - 0	14 - 0		9	Idaho	0 - 8	0 - 12
2	Central Michigan	7 - 1	8 - 5
3	Temple	6 - 3	8 - 6			Sun Belt Conference
4	Toledo	5 - 3	6 - 7				Conference	Overall
5	Kent State	5 - 3	6 - 6		1	Troy	8 - 0	10 - 3
6	Northern Illinois	4 - 4	6 - 6		2	UL-Lafayette	6 - 2	8 - 5
7	Western Michigan	4 - 4	6 - 6		3	Arkansas State	6 - 2	7 - 6
8	Buffalo	4 - 4	5 - 7		4	Florida Int'l	5 - 3	7 - 6
9	Bowling Green	4 - 4	4 - 8		5	Florida Atlantic	4 - 4	5 - 7
10	Akron	3 - 5	6 - 6		6	Middle Tennessee	4 - 4	5 - 7
11	Ohio	2 - 6	4 - 8		7	UL-Monroe	2 - 6	3 - 9
12	Eastern Michigan	0 - 8	1 - 11		8	North Texas	1 - 7	1 - 11
13	Miami-Ohio	0 - 8	0 - 12		9	Western Kentucky	0 - 8	1 - 11
These projections are based on the power rankings computed through the end of the 2008 season.
There were some adjustments made in July 2009 based on numbers of returning starters and lettermen.
For the most part, these projections reflect my guess as to what would happen if last year's teams
played this year's schedule, which of course won't happen so there will be some obvious "errors",
such as five teams all ending up undefeated.					Click Here for Bowl Projections
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FCS Preseason Forecast
Posted 25 August 2009
D. P. Dwiggins, PhD
Click Here for Weekly Game Predictions
	Colonial Athletic Association					Mississippi Valley Conference
		Conference	Overall				Conference	Overall
1	James Madison	9 - 0	14 - 1		1	Northern Iowa	8 - 0	10 - 2
2	Richmond	7 - 2	12 - 3		2	N. Dakota St.	6 - 2	8 - 4
3	Villanova	6 - 2	9 - 4		3	Southern Illinois	6 - 2	8 - 4
4	New Hampshire	6 - 2	9 - 4		4	Western Illinois	5 - 3	7 - 4
5	William & Mary	5 - 3	7 - 4		5	S. Dakota St.	5 - 3	5 - 6
6	Maine	5 - 3	7 - 4		6	Illinois State	3 - 5	5 - 6
7	Massachusetts	4 - 4	6 - 5		7	Youngstown State	2 - 6	3  -8
8	Delaware	2 - 6	4 - 7		8	Missouri State	1 - 7	2 - 9
9	Hofstra	2 - 6	4 - 7		9	Indiana State	0 - 8	1 - 10
10	Northeastern	2 - 6	3 - 8
11	Rhode Island	1 - 7	2 - 9			Southland Conference
12	Towson	0 - 8	2 - 9				Conference	Overall
					1	McNeese State	7 - 0	9 - 3
	Southern Conference				2	Central Arkansas	6 - 1	9 - 3
		Conference	Overall		3	Texas State	4 - 3	7 - 4
1	Appalachian State	8 - 0	12 - 2		4	Sam Houston St.	4 - 3	5 - 6
2	Wofford	7 - 1	8 - 4		5	Northwestern State	3 - 4	4 - 7
3	Elon	6 - 2	9 - 4		6	SE Louisiana	2 - 5	4 - 7
4	Georgia Southern	5 - 3	7 - 4		7	S. F. Austin	1 - 6	2 - 9
5	Samford	4 - 4	6 - 5		8	Nicholls State	1 - 6	2 - 9
6	Furman	3 - 5	4 - 7
7	The Citadel	2 - 6	4 - 7			Big South Conference
8	Western Carolina	1 - 7	2 - 9				Conference	Overall
9	Chattanooga	0 - 8	2 - 9		1	Liberty	6 - 0	8 - 3
					2	Cha'ston Southern	5 - 1	7 - 4
	Ohio Valley Conference				3	Stony Brook	4 - 2	4 - 7
		Conference	Overall		4	Coastal Carolina	3 - 3	4 - 7
1	Jacksonville State	7 - 0	9 - 3		5	Gardner-Webb	2 - 4	4 - 7
2	Eastern Kentucky	7 - 1	8 - 3		6	Virginia Military	1 - 5	2 - 9
3	UT-Martin	6 - 2	8 - 3		7	Presbyterian	0 - 6	1 - 10
4	Tennessee State	5 - 2	8 - 3
5	Eastern Illinois	4 - 4	5 - 6			Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
6	Murray State	3 - 5	4 - 7				Conference	Overall
7	Austin Peay	1 - 7	2 - 9		1	S. Carolina St.	9 - 0	11 - 2
8	Tennessee Tech	1 - 7	2 - 9		2	Florida A&M	8 - 1	9 - 2
9	SE Missouri State	1 - 7	2 - 9		3	Bethune-Cookman	7 - 2	9 - 2
					4	Morgan State	6 - 3	6 - 5
	Big Sky Conference				5	Hampton	5 - 4	7 - 4
		Conference	Overall		6	Delaware State	3 - 5	3 - 7
1	Montana	8 - 0	13 - 1		7	Norfolk State	3 - 6	4 - 7
2	Weber State	7 - 1	7 - 4		8	Winston-Salem	2 - 7	3 - 8
3	E. Washington	6 - 2	8 - 3		9	N. C. A&T	1 - 7	1 - 9
4	Montana State	5 - 3	7 - 4		10	Howard	0 - 9	0 - 11
5	Sacramento State	4 - 4	5 - 6
6	Northern Arizona	3 - 5	4 - 7			Southwestern Athletic Conference
7	No. Colorado	2 - 6	3 - 8				Conference	Overall
8	Portland State	1 - 7	2 - 9		1	Grambling	9 - 0	10 - 2
9	Idaho State	0 - 8	1 - 10		2	Prairie View	7 - 1	8 - 2
					3	Southern	6 - 1	7 - 4
	Ivy League				4	Jackson State	6 - 2	6 - 5
		Conference	Overall		5	Alabama A&M	4 - 3	5 - 6
1	Harvard	7 - 0	10 - 0		6	Alcorn State	3 - 5	3 - 7
2	Yale	6 - 1	9 - 1		7	Alabama State	2 - 5	6 - 5
3	Brown	5 - 2	8 - 2		8	Ark - Pine Bluff	2 - 6	5 - 6
4	Pennsylvania	4 - 3	5 - 5		9	Mississippi Valley	1 - 7	3 - 8
5	Princeton	3 - 4	3  -7		10	Texas Southern	0 - 7	1 - 10
6	Cornell	2 - 5	4 - 6
7	Columbia	1 - 6	1 - 9			Pioneer Football League
8	Dartmouth	0 - 7	0 - 10				Conference	Overall
					1	Dayton	8 - 0	11 - 1
	Patriot League				2	San Diego	7 - 1	8 - 3
		Conference	Overall		3	Jacksonville	7 - 1	9 - 2
1	Holy Cross	6 - 0	9 - 3		4	Morehead State	5 - 3	8 - 3
2	Colgate	5 - 1	10 - 1		5	Butler	4 - 4	7 - 4
3	Lafayette	4 - 2	7 - 4		6	Marist	4 - 4	4 - 7
4	Lehigh	3 - 3	5 - 6		7	Drake	3 - 5	5 - 6
5	Fordham	2 - 4	5 - 6		8	Valparaiso	1 - 7	3 - 8
6	Bucknell	1 - 5	4 - 7		9	Davidson	1 - 7	2 - 8
7	Georgetown	0 - 6	2 - 9		10	Campbell	0 - 8	0 - 11
	Great Western Football Conference					Northeast Conference
		Conference	Overall				Conference	Overall
1	Cal Poly	4 - 0	8 - 4		1	Albany	8 - 0	9 - 3
2	South Dakota	3 - 1	7 - 3		2	Monmouth	7 - 1	9 - 2
3	UC-Davis	2 - 2	5 - 6		3	C. Connecticut St.	6 - 2	7 - 4
4	North Dakota	1 - 3	5 - 6		4	Sacred Heart	5 - 3	6 - 4
5	Southern Utah	0 - 4	2 - 9		5	Robert Morris	4 - 4	5 - 6
					6	Bryant*	3 - 5	4 - 7
	FCS Independents				7	Duquesne	2 - 6	2 - 9
		Conference	Overall		8	Wagner	1 - 7	3 - 8
1	N. C. Central	2 - 0	5 - 6		9	St. Francis - PA	0 - 8	0 - 10
2	Savannah State	1 - 1	6 - 5			* Bryant plays a full NEC schedule
3	Old Dominion	0 - 2	1 - 10			but is not yet a full conference member
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